Aaron Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2024

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Aaron Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Wiggins

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 27, 2024

Updated Apr 27, 2024 7:35 PM EST

Analysis

Aaron Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+108/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 36.9% mark, Aaron Wiggins's three-point ability has spiked this season to 50.9%.
Aaron Wiggins has been on the court for 25.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 9.4 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year on the road.
When it comes to shooting, the Thunder's impressive 119.8 points per game measures as the 3rd-most in the NBA this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
Aaron Wiggins has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 17.5% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Aaron Wiggins has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.6 higher than he's accumulated overall this season on the road.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Aaron Wiggins will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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