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Aaron Wiggins

Aaron Wiggins Points
Player Prop - 2/25/2024

Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Aaron Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Wiggins has made 63.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 6.6% more than he's sunk overall this season.

With respect to shooting, the Thunder's terrific 128.2 points per game ranks highest in the league over the last 5 games.

This year, opposing teams have averaged 34.3% on three-pointers (weakest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, designating this as a hard matchup.

The Thunder have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Houston Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should raise opportunities for the Thunder.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Houston Rockets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.8) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; their opposition has attempted a monstrous 25.9 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (most in the NBA).

Aaron Wiggins is expected to see a decline in output across the board on account of playing away from home in this game.

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