Aaron Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2024

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Aaron Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Wiggins

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Orlando Magic vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 13, 2024

Updated Feb 14, 2024 4:02 AM EST

Analysis

Aaron Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Wiggins has put up 10.7 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.5 higher than he's put up over the course of the season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Wiggins slots into the 98th percentile for 3-point effectiveness when playing away from home with a a great 61.5% rate this year.
The Thunder rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
On their home court, the Magic have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The 10th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Magic have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Thunder.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.7 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have attempted 24.5 foul shots per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.
Aaron Wiggins will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually worsens stat production across the board.

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