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Aaron Wiggins

Aaron Wiggins Points
Player Prop - 1/31/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Wiggins has successfully made 75.0% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 17.8% more than he's made over the course of the season.

The Thunder rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

This year when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have averaged 30.3 3-point attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, resulting in a challenging matchup.

Aaron Wiggins has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 22.9% higher than he's put through the net overall this year.

Aaron Wiggins stands to see a rise in production in all stat categories as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 7th-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from facing the slowest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets).

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Denver Nuggets have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 24 games when they are on their home court, their opposition has attempted 22.7 free throws per game (8th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

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