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Aaron Wiggins

Aaron Wiggins Points
Player Prop - 4/14/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder

 
 
 
Aaron Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Aaron Wiggins has successfully made 61.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 13.8% higher than he's made over the course of the season.
  • The matchup against the Timberwolves is a hard one; they have allowed the 8th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (111.2).
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
  • The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league at home this year, which should increase possessions for the Thunder.
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Aaron Wiggins has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season on the road.
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court.
  • The Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • This matchup is a good one for getting to the free throw line; when the Timberwolves have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have attempted a monstrous 26.8 foul shots per game this year (most in the NBA).
  • Aaron Wiggins will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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