Aaron Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2023

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Aaron Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Wiggins

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 27, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Aaron Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Wiggins has sunk 63.1% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 14.9% more than he's put through the net in all games this season with the home court advantage.
Aaron Wiggins has successfully made 60.4% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games at home, 25.1% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season on his home court.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (which also provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home.
The Cavaliers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (which also lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a tough one for 3-pointers; their opposition have averaged the 5th-least shots from downtown per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (14.0).
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 10th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Thunder have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease possessions for the Cavaliers.
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a difficult one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the lowest three percentage in the league over the last 5 games (24.3%).

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