Aaron Wiggins Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/14/2023

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Aaron Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Wiggins

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 14, 2023

Updated Apr 14, 2023 6:31 PM EST

Analysis

Aaron Wiggins Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+120/-150).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Wiggins has sunk 36.9% of his 3-point attempts this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a tough one for attempts from beyond the arc; opposing teams have averaged the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 20 games (28.4).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league at home this year, which should increase possessions for the Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Aaron Wiggins has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season on the road.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court.
The Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Aaron Wiggins will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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