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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Steals
Player Prop - 6/5/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 1.0 steals per game this year on the road, placing him among the best in the league by this metric in recent days: 80th percentile.

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 6.6 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road.

The Pacers have played at the 9th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year.

The Pacers will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 4th-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 1.1 higher than he's averaged overall this year.

Aaron Nesmith will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce player production across the board.

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

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