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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Steals
Player Prop - 5/21/2025

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has put up 1.0 steals per game this year on the road, ranking him among the NBA's best by this standard over this stretch of games: 80th percentile.

The Pacers have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's tallied in all games this year.

The New York Knicks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.

Aaron Nesmith will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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