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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Steals
Player Prop - 4/8/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards

Aaron Nesmith Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-250/+185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -250 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +185.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has totaled 1.0 steals per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.4 higher than he's totaled in all games this season at home.

The 6th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Indiana Pacers.

Aaron Nesmith will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally increases stat production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith comes in at the 91st percentile for personal fouls, averaging an enormous 2.5 fouls per game this year.

The Pacers are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Washington Wizards).

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