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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Steals
Player Prop - 5/2/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks

Aaron Nesmith Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-188/+146).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +146 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +146.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has put up 1.1 steals per game this year at home, putting him among the best in the NBA by this metric over this stretch of games: 88th percentile.

Aaron Nesmith has been on the court for 36.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.0 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.

Aaron Nesmith ought to get a boost in performance in all facets of the game considering holding the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The Pacers have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Pacers are expected to see a decline in plays today from facing the 3rd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

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