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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Steals
Player Prop - 2/14/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+145/-190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +165 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 1.1 steals per game this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric in recent games.

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 7.2 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.

The 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith rates in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 3.4 fouls per game this year.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.

Aaron Nesmith ought to experience a decrease in effectiveness for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this game.

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