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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Steals
Player Prop - 2/6/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Houston Rockets

Aaron Nesmith Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-245/+186).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -210 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -245.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has put up 1.1 steals per game this year at home, placing him among the league's hottest by this metric over this stretch of games: 89th percentile.

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.3 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.

The fastest tempo home offense in the NBA this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost possessions for the Pacers.

Aaron Nesmith is expected to see an increase in production for all stats in light of owning the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith registers in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 2.9 fouls per game while at home this year.

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