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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 6/16/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-138/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -138 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -138.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has posted 5.4 defensive boards per game over the last 10 games away from his home court, 2.0 more than he's posted over the course of the year on the road.

The 7th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Indiana Pacers.

The Indiana Pacers will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year (the Thunder).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has accumulated 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season.

The Pacers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to lower player production in all facets of the game.

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