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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 5/29/2025

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Aaron Nesmith has compiled 5.6 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's compiled overall this season.
  • Aaron Nesmith has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 8.1 higher than he's played overall this year on the road.
  • The 9th-fastest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Pacers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Aaron Nesmith has averaged 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
  • The Knicks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with just 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
  • Aaron Nesmith will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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