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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 4/2/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Charlotte Hornets

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has posted 3.7 defensive boards per game this year at home, placing him among the NBA's leaders by this metric over this stretch of games: 77th percentile.

The 6th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Indiana Pacers.

Aaron Nesmith will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith registers in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, registering an enormous 2.6 fouls per game this year.

The Hornets have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Indiana Pacers.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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