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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/24/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-129/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 3.7 defensive rebounds per game this year at home, placing him among the hottest players in the NBA by this standard over this stretch of games: 76th percentile.

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.

The 6th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Indiana Pacers.

The Pacers will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from competing against the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

Aaron Nesmith should see a rise in productivity for all stats as a result of having the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith registers in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 2.6 fouls per game this year.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA while on their home court with just 7.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

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