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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/4/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Houston Rockets

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has posted 1.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's posted over the course of the year.

Aaron Nesmith has been on the court for 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home.

The Pacers are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from squaring off against the 7th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets).

Aaron Nesmith is expected to see an increase in efficiency across the board in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (90th percentile).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the league while playing at home with just 8.2 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

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