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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 2/28/2025

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has totaled 1.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's totaled over the course of the season.

Aaron Nesmith has committed a measly 2.6 personal fouls per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 3.5 fouls per game last season.

The 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Pacers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Heat).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 9.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Aaron Nesmith should experience a decrease in productivity in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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