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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 5/25/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-161/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -161.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Aaron Nesmith has totaled 4.6 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.5 more than he's totaled in all games this year at home.
  • Aaron Nesmith will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise player performance across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Aaron Nesmith has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
  • The Pacers have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games.
  • The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should decrease opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.
  • The Indiana Pacers rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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