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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 4/7/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +122 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 1.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.6 more than he's tallied in all games this season at home.

The most up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

Aaron Nesmith ought to see an increase in efficiency across the board due to enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from being pitted against the most sluggish pace-of-play away offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat).

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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