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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 4/5/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has posted 1.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.7 more than he's posted overall this season at home.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the speediest tempo in the league playing at home this year.

The Indiana Pacers will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Aaron Nesmith stands to see a rise in production in all stat categories as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith comes in at the 96th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 3.0 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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