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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/18/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 1.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.5 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season at home.

The Pacers have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while at home this year.

The Indiana Pacers have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually improves player production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

The Pacers will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Cavaliers).

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