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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/13/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Chicago Bulls

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 1.2 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, 0.5 more than he's averaged overall this season at home.

The Pacers have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA as the home team this year.

Aaron Nesmith will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally increases player performance for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.8 more than he's averaged in all games this season at home.

The Indiana Pacers will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the least up-tempo tempo road team in the league this year (the Bulls).

The Pacers have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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