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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/7/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+124/-158).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -158 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +124.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has put up 1.3 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.5 more than he's put up over the course of the year at home.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA at home this year.

While on the road, the Timberwolves have allowed the 6th-least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to boost stat production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.0 more than he's averaged in all games this season at home.

The Indiana Pacers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-most lethargic pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

The Indiana Pacers have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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