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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 1/28/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has put up 4.4 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's put up over the course of the year.

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's tallied overall this year.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.

The Indiana Pacers are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from competing against the speediest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).

Aaron Nesmith will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally raises player performance in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game while at home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 10thworst in in the league with only 10.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Away from home, the Grizzlies have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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