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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 1/26/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Phoenix Suns

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has totaled 1.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's totaled over the course of the season.

The speediest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Pacers.

The Indiana Pacers are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from facing the 9th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns).

Aaron Nesmith will likely see a spike in effectiveness across the board considering holding the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 89th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 5thworst in in the NBA as the home team with a mere 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

While playing on the road, the Phoenix Suns have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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