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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 1/21/2024

Phoenix Suns vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -148.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has posted 3.8 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.3 more than he's posted in all games this season on the road.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road.

The Indiana Pacers are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from squaring off against the 9th-speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Suns).

The Phoenix Suns have given up the 4th-least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith measures in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 3.3 fouls per game this year.

The Pacers rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally reduces player performance for all stats.

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