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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 1/12/2024

Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+105/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has totaled 3.8 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.3 higher than he's totaled in all games this year on the road.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year.

The Pacers are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Atlanta Hawks).

The Pacers check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (97th percentile).

This year, opposing teams have secured 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Hawks (maintaining possessions that can result in additional opportunities for offense).

Aaron Nesmith will likely suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all stat categories considering being on the road in this contest.

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

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