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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 1/10/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -148 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pacers have played at the quickest tempo in the league when playing at home this year.

The Indiana Pacers will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from facing the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Washington Wizards).

Aaron Nesmith will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally increases stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith rates in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 2.8 fouls per game at home this year.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 25 games, their opposition has brought down 13.0 offensive boards per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Washington Wizards (lengthening possessions that can bring about added chances for offense).

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