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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 1/8/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Pacers.

The Pacers will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from competing against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Celtics).

Aaron Nesmith will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally increases player performance for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith registers in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, logging a whopping 2.9 fouls per game while on his home court this year.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 5thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with only 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.

The Boston Celtics have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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