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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 12/30/2023

Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-158/+124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -146 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +124.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has put up 3.4 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's put up over the course of the season.

The speediest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Indiana Pacers.

The Pacers will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from competing against the 4th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the New York Knicks).

While on the road, the New York Knicks have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith should see a spike in performance for all stats in light of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 3rdworst in in the NBA with the home court advantage with just 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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