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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 12/15/2023

Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has posted a terrific 1.1 offensive boards per game this season, quite a bit more than his 0.6 offensive boards per game last season.

The Pacers have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year.

The Pacers are expected to get a boost in plays today from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Wizards).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has committed 4.0 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 3.3 fouls per game last year.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 6thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with a mere 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have secured 13.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Wizards (preserving possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).

Aaron Nesmith will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually lowers stat production across the board.

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

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