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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 12/13/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-170/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged a terrific 1.1 offensive boards per game this season, significantly higher than his 0.6 offensive boards per game last season.

The fastest tempo home team in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last season's 3.3 rate, Aaron Nesmith's personal fouls per game have increased this season to 3.9.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Playing at home, the Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will likely suffer a reduction in effectiveness for all stats considering being on the road in this game.

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