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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 12/11/2023

Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged an impressive 1.2 offensive rebounds per game this season, significantly higher than his 0.6 offensive rebounds per game last season.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year.

The Pistons have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Indiana Pacers.

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have secured 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (7th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons (minimizing possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last year's 3.3 clip, Aaron Nesmith's personal fouls per game have risen this year to 4.0.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce player production in all stat categories.

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