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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 11/30/2023

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has totaled an impressive 1.4 offensive rebounds per game this year, quite a bit more than his 0.6 offensive rebounds per game last year.

The fastest pace road offense in the NBA this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

This year when they are at home, opposing squads have secured 9.6 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce further chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith ranks in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 3.1 fouls per game this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Pacers.

The Pacers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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