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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 10/25/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has totaled a whopping 0.9 offensive boards per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 0.3 offensive boards per game last season.

The Pacers have played at the speediest tempo in the league away from their home court this year.

The Pacers will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Wizards).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pacers rank 10thbest in in the league while playing at home with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Aaron Nesmith will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increases stat production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.1 fouls per game last season.

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have nabbed 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Wizards (lengthening possessions that can produce further chances for offense).

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