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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 4/7/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has put up 1.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.5 higher than he's put up over the course of the year at home.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year.

The Indiana Pacers have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally boosts player production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, a significant increase from his 1.1 fouls per game last year.

The Pistons have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Pacers.

The Pistons have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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