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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/20/2023

Charlotte Hornets vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Indiana Pacers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 0.3 offensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him among the worst players in the league by this standard: 20th percentile.

Aaron Nesmith has been on the court for 3.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games, -5.8 less than he's been on the court for in all games this year.

The Hornets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games at home, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Pacers.

While on their home court, the Hornets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally lowers stat production in all facets of the game.

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