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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/16/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Pacers.
  • The Indiana Pacers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Bucks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.7) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Aaron Nesmith has compiled 0.3 offensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the worst players in the league by this standard: 20th percentile.
  • Aaron Nesmith has tallied 3.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games, -5.8 less than he's tallied over the course of the season.
  • Aaron Nesmith will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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