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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/13/2023

Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-144/+118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -144.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Pistons have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Pacers.
  • The Indiana Pacers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Aaron Nesmith has posted 0.3 offensive rebounds per game this year, placing him among the worst players in the NBA by this standard: 20th percentile.
  • Aaron Nesmith has tallied 3.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games, -5.8 lower than he's tallied in all games this year.
  • At home, the Pistons have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Aaron Nesmith will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduces player production across the board.

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