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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/11/2023

Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Pistons have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost possessions for the Pacers.

The Indiana Pacers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has put up 0.3 offensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the worst players in the league by this standard: 20th percentile.

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 3.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games, -5.8 lower than he's averaged over the course of the year.

On their home court, the Pistons have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally worsens player production for all stats.

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

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