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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/2/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The Spurs have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Pacers.
  • The Indiana Pacers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Aaron Nesmith has averaged 0.3 offensive rebounds per game this year, putting him among the worst players in the league by this standard: 20th percentile.
  • Aaron Nesmith has been on the court for 3.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games, -5.8 lower than he's been on the court for in all games this year.
  • The Spurs have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Aaron Nesmith will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally reduces player production for all stats.

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