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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 2/28/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-144/+118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

The Mavericks have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has totaled 0.3 offensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the worst players in the NBA by this metric: 20th percentile.

Aaron Nesmith has been on the court for 3.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games, -5.8 less than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.

The Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease possessions for the Pacers.

Aaron Nesmith will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

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