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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 2/10/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Phoenix Suns

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has been on the court for 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games while on their home court.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises stat production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

The Suns have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league while traveling this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Pacers.

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