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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 1/27/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/+106).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has compiled 1.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.7 higher than he's compiled overall this year at home.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (which also provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while on their home court.

The Pacers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Bucks.

Aaron Nesmith will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The Bucks have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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