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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 1/25/2023

Orlando Magic vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-128/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (which can also produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has committed 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (97th percentile).

The Magic have given up the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Pacers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should decrease plays for the Magic.

Aaron Nesmith will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually decreases player performance for all stats.

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