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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 1/18/2023

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 4.2 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's tallied overall this season.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.

The Pacers have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Thunder.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (96th percentile).

The Thunder have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year when playing away from home (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player production in all stat categories.

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