Aaron Nesmith Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2026

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Aaron Nesmith

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Nesmith

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat · Mar 29, 2026

Updated Mar 29, 2026 5:45 PM EST

Analysis

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to threes, the Indiana Pacers's fantastic 14.9 made threes per game comes in as the 8th-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The 3rd-fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Pacers.
The Miami Heat have played at the quickest tempo in the league this year, which should raise possessions for the Pacers.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds save possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.3 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

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