Aaron Nesmith Points - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2026

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Aaron Nesmith

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Nesmith

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs LA Clippers · Mar 27, 2026

Updated Mar 27, 2026 11:01 PM EST

Analysis

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-112/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pacers have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as it relates to 3-pointers.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 8th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The matchup against the Clippers may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (5th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have compiled 11.4 points per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Clippers, labeling this as a difficult matchup for offensive productivity.
The LA Clippers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.
The Pacers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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